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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Photo: Axios

World · Americas · 43 outlets (L 11 · C 16 · R 11 · 5 not rated)

Lula wins fourth term in Brazil as Bolsonaro rejects result

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won a historic fourth term on Sunday, defeating Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a runoff election, Brazil's electoral court said.⁠[20, 27] With 100% of the vote counted, the electoral court announced Lula had a lead of nearly 4.4 million votes; Democracy Now! reported the margin as 4 million votes, and The Daily Wire reported the result as 51.8% to 48.2%.⁠[1, 18, 35] Lula had lost the first round to Bolsonaro three weeks earlier, making the win a comeback that defied polls and prediction markets that had favored Bolsonaro.⁠[8, 16, 40]

President Trump said Monday that the Brazilian election looked 'rigged' and 'corrupt.'⁠[14, 37] The result triggered a sharp sell-off in Brazilian and international financial markets Monday, with Brazil's main stock index dropping to a two-month low.⁠[25, 36] Flávio Bolsonaro is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro; Democracy Now! reported the elder Bolsonaro remains under house arrest for plotting a coup against Lula, while The Hill reported he is serving a 27-year prison sentence.⁠[1, 23]

Covered by The New York Times, NBC News, The Wall Street Journal and 40 more

Read first Brazilian President Lula wins a historic fourth term · NBC News

Where accounts differ (1)
  • Earlier and later reportsThe status of former President Jair Bolsonaro differs: Democracy Now! reported he remains under house arrest for plotting a coup, while The Hill reported he is serving a 27-year prison sentence.⁠[1, 23]

How balanced is this coverage?

Of the 38 rated outlets that covered it, 11 are left of center (5 of them in the Left group), 16 are center and 11 are right of center (8 of them in the Right group). 5 more are not rated.

Where the outlets sit
Democracy Now! · Left · −2.47Jacobin · Left · −2.03Mother Jones · Left · −1.71The Real News Network · Left · −1.68The American Prospect · Left · −1.29The New Republic · Leans left · −1.09MS NOW · Leans left · −0.76The New York Times · Leans left · −0.70The Guardian · Leans left · −0.70NPR · Leans left · −0.68The Daily Beast · Leans left · −0.64Vanity Fair · Center · −0.61NBC News · Center · −0.49PBS NewsHour · Center · −0.48TIME · Center · −0.40Fortune · Center · −0.25Foreign Policy · Center · −0.20ABC News · Center · −0.19International Business Times · Center · −0.14CBS News · Center · −0.14The Christian Science Monitor · Center · −0.09Axios · Center · −0.05Yahoo News · Center · +0.07Bloomberg · Center · +0.08The Hill · Center · +0.10UPI · Center · +0.17CNBC · Center · +0.40The Wall Street Journal · Leans right · +0.63New York Post · Leans right · +0.64The American Conservative · Leans right · +1.06The Washington Times · Right · +1.27Washington Examiner · Right · +1.34Fox News · Right · +1.52Blaze Media · Right · +1.71RedState · Right · +1.87Breitbart · Right · +2.03The Daily Wire · Right · +2.07Conservative Review · Right · +2.76
  • Left: Democracy Now! (−2.47), Jacobin (−2.03), Mother Jones (−1.71), The Real News Network (−1.68), The American Prospect (−1.29).
  • Leans left: The New Republic (−1.09), MS NOW (−0.76), The New York Times (−0.70), The Guardian (−0.70), NPR (−0.68), The Daily Beast (−0.64).
  • Center: Vanity Fair (−0.61), NBC News (−0.49), PBS NewsHour (−0.48), TIME (−0.40), Fortune (−0.25), Foreign Policy (−0.20), ABC News (−0.19), International Business Times (−0.14), CBS News (−0.14), The Christian Science Monitor (−0.09), Axios (−0.05), Yahoo News (+0.07), Bloomberg (+0.08), The Hill (+0.10), UPI (+0.17), CNBC (+0.40).
  • Leans right: The Wall Street Journal (+0.63), New York Post (+0.64), The American Conservative (+1.06).
  • Right: The Washington Times (+1.27), Washington Examiner (+1.34), Fox News (+1.52), Blaze Media (+1.71), RedState (+1.87), Breitbart (+2.03), The Daily Wire (+2.07), Conservative Review (+2.76).

Not rated Al Jazeera, BBC News, Financial Times, Los Angeles Times, Semafor. Not placed: they have no lean score.

Each dot is an outlet that covered it, placed by its audience-lean score (Eady et al. 2025), which measures who shares its links, not how accurate it is. The ticks under the line are all 113 rated outlets Tare reads.

Detailed briefing

A longer write-up made from the full articles: what happened, the background, how coverage differs and what's still unclear, with every paragraph sourced.

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Sources

Left

  1. 1 Democracy Now! · Left · Oct 26, 8:16 a.m. ETBrazil: Lula Wins Stunning Upset Over Flávio Bolsonaro in Blow to Far Right & Trump
  2. 2 Jacobin · Left · Oct 26, 4:47 p.m. ETLula’s Win Is a Defeat for Donald Trump and MAGA
  3. 3 Mother Jones · Left · Oct 25, 8:39 p.m. ETLula’s Suprise Win Blocks Trump’s Push for a Far-Right Brazil
  4. 4 MS NOW · Leans left · Oct 26, 11:33 a.m. ETFlávio Bolsonaro’s defeat in Brazil has MAGA crying ‘rigged!’
  5. 5 NPR · Leans left · Oct 26, 4:55 p.m. ETHow Lula defied the odds to win Brazil's presidency
  6. 6 The American Prospect · Left · Oct 26, 3:00 p.m. ETLula’s Huge Win for the Left
  7. 7 The Daily Beast · Leans left · Oct 26, 2:00 a.m. ETTrump Ally Plunges to Stunning Loss in Humiliation for MAGA
  8. 8 The Guardian · Leans left · Oct 26, 1:56 p.m. ETHow the streets and social media drove Lula to a historic comeback in Brazil
  9. 9 The New Republic · Leans left · Oct 26, 9:16 a.m. ETBrazil’s Far-Right Leader Rejects Election as Results Roll In
  10. 10 The New York Times · Leans left · Oct 26, 10:42 a.m. ETBrazilian Markets Convulse After Unexpected Election Result
  11. 11 The Real News Network · Left · Oct 26, 11:34 a.m. ETBrazil’s Lula wins ‘historic victory’ against right-wing Trump ally Flávio Bolsonaro

Center

  1. 12 ABC News · Center · Oct 26, 10:01 a.m. ETLula secures victory in Brazil's election, but faces challenge as Bolsonaro contests results
  2. 13 Axios · Center · Oct 26, 4:32 p.m. ETBrazil's election ignites MAGA's midterm warnings
  3. 14 Bloomberg · Center · Oct 26, 3:52 p.m. ETTrump Says Brazil Election Looked ‘Rigged’ After Lula Victory
  4. 15 CBS News · Center · Oct 26, 10:36 a.m. ETLula wins 4th term as Brazil's president, but Bolsonaro rejects results
  5. 16 CNBC · Center · Oct 26, 1:29 p.m. ETLula wins Brazil runoff after prediction markets favored Bolsonaro
  6. 17 Foreign Policy · Center · Oct 26, 3:20 p.m. ETLula Defies Latin America’s Pro-Trump Wave
  7. 18 Fortune · Center · Oct 26, 12:09 a.m. ETTrump critic Lula wins reelection, saying Brazil is not ‘anyone’s backyard,’ while Bolsonaro asks for results to be annulled
  8. 19 International Business Times · Center · Oct 26, 8:09 a.m. ETLula Staged an Unexpected Comeback in Brazil's Presidential Elections. Its Markets Are Plunging.
  9. 20 NBC News · Center · Oct 26, 5:35 a.m. ETBrazilian President Lula wins a historic fourth term
  10. 21 PBS NewsHour · Center · Oct 26, 2:48 p.m. ETLula bucks regional shift to the right and denies Trump a powerful ally in Brazil
  11. 22 The Christian Science Monitor · Center · Oct 26, 12:04 p.m. ETBrazil bucks Latin America’s rightward shift. But Lula victory is ‘fragile.’
  12. 23 The Hill · Center · Oct 26, 2:59 p.m. ETDemocrats, world leaders congratulate Trump critic Lula on reelection in Brazil
  13. 24 TIME · Center · Oct 26, 12:35 p.m. ETLula’s Victory in Brazil Is a Defeat for Trumpism
  14. 25 UPI · Center · Oct 26, 12:42 p.m. ETLula's re-election in Brazil triggers global market sell-off
  15. 26 Vanity Fair · Center · Oct 26, 4:56 p.m. ETWho Is Lula, the Four-Time President of Brazil?
  16. 27 Yahoo News · Center · Oct 26, 12:44 a.m. ETTrump critic Lula wins 4th term in Brazil, but Flávio Bolsonaro refuses to concede

Right

  1. 28 Blaze Media · Right · Oct 26, 10:15 a.m. ETSTOLEN ELECTION? Bolsonaro rejects outcome of Brazilian election after last-minute hijinks
  2. 29 Breitbart · Right · Oct 26, 12:57 p.m. ETBrazil’s Lula Declares ‘I Was Chosen by God’ in Victory Speech
  3. 30 Conservative Review · Right · Oct 26, 10:15 a.m. ETSTOLEN ELECTION? Bolsonaro rejects outcome of Brazilian election after last-minute hijinks
  4. 31 Fox News · Right · Oct 25, 8:27 p.m. ETConservative wave hits roadblock in Brazil as Lula holds off Bolsonaro challenge
  5. 32 New York Post · Leans right · Oct 26, 4:27 p.m. ETTrump offers $1M for voter fraud reports 8 days before midterms, suggests Brazil election ‘rigged’
  6. 33 RedState · Right · Oct 26, 11:15 a.m. ETLula Declared Winner in Brazil; Bolsonaro Refuses to Concede After Last-Minute Confusion at Polls
  7. 34 The American Conservative · Leans right · Oct 26, 8:52 a.m. ETLula Wins in Brazil, But Bolsonaro Refuses to Concede
  8. 35 The Daily Wire · Right · Oct 26, 3:42 a.m. ETBrazil’s Leftist President Declared Winner Over Bolsonaro After Suspicious Election Ruling
  9. 36 The Wall Street Journal · Leans right · Oct 26, 12:11 p.m. ETBrazilian Markets Crash After Lula’s Surprise Election Win Stuns Investors
  10. 37 The Washington Times · Right · Oct 26, 4:24 p.m. ETTrump says Brazil election looked 'rigged,' 'corrupt' after Lula victory
  11. 38 Washington Examiner · Right · Oct 26, 12:24 a.m. ETLula is declared winner of Brazil’s election as Bolsonaro rejects results

Not rated

  1. 39 Al Jazeera · Not rated · Oct 26, 4:55 p.m. ETWhat will Lula’s fourth term mean for Brazil?
  2. 40 BBC News · Not rated · Oct 26, 9:54 a.m. ETLula wins fourth term in dramatic Brazil election comeback
  3. 41 Financial Times · Not rated · Oct 26, 7:58 a.m. ETUpdate: Lula pulls off election win in Brazil
  4. 42 Los Angeles Times · Not rated · Oct 26, 11:06 a.m. ETLula’s win in Brazil bucks a regional shift to the right and denies Trump a powerful ally
  5. 43 Semafor · Not rated · Oct 26, 4:14 p.m. ETLula victory in Brazil means more Trump tensions
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