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Tuesday, October 27, 2026

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Photo: The Hill

U.S. Politics · Elections · 9 outlets (L 4 · C 3 · R 2)

Polls show Troy Jackson leading Susan Collins in Maine Senate race

New polling shows Democrat Troy Jackson leading Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine's U.S. Senate race one week before the midterms.⁠[5, 7] Nate Silver challenged a Marist poll that surveyed 1,449 registered voters in Maine and found Collins trailing Jackson by 9 points.⁠[4]

Collins faced criticism over her closing ad, in which former newscaster Bill Green said Jackson "doesn't have the tools he needs" for the Senate, which Raw Story described as disparaging his working-class roots.⁠[3] Jackson, in a seven-figure ad blitz, casts the race as a choice between wealthy interests and working-class Mainers.⁠[1]

Covered by MS NOW, CBS News, The Wall Street Journal and 6 more

Read first Jackson pulls ahead of Collins in Senate race, new Maine poll shows · CBS News

Where accounts differ (1)
  • Earlier and later reportsThe Marist poll's findings differ across outlets: The Hill reported Collins trailing Jackson by 2 percentage points among likely voters, while The Daily Beast reported the same pollster found Collins trailing by 9 points among 1,449 registered voters.⁠[4, 7]
    • The Hill · Center · Oct 27, 7:54 a.m. ET Jackson, Collins separated by 2 points in Maine Senate race pollingSen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) is locked in a tight race against her Democratic challenger, Troy Jackson, according to a new survey. The Marist University poll, released one week before the midterms, found the incumbent…
    • The Daily Beast · Leans left · Oct 27, 11:34 a.m. ET Nate Silver Calls BS on Eye-Popping Poll in Key Senate RaceColin McPherson / Corbis via Getty Images Polling guru Nate Silver is poking holes in a new poll that cast doubt on how much support Democrats can count on when voters cast their ballots next week. The statistician…

How balanced is this coverage?

Of the 9 rated outlets that covered it, 4 are left of center, 3 are center and 2 are right of center (1 of them in the Right group).

Too few left- or right-leaning outlets to compare: 4 of 42 left-leaning, 3 of 33 center and 2 of 38 right-leaning outlets covered it.

Where the outlets sit
PoliticusUSA · Leans left · −1.16Raw Story · Leans left · −0.94MS NOW · Leans left · −0.76The Daily Beast · Leans left · −0.64Newsweek · Center · −0.30CBS News · Center · −0.14The Hill · Center · +0.10The Wall Street Journal · Leans right · +0.63Washington Examiner · Right · +1.34
  • Left: none.
  • Leans left: PoliticusUSA (−1.16), Raw Story (−0.94), MS NOW (−0.76), The Daily Beast (−0.64).
  • Center: Newsweek (−0.30), CBS News (−0.14), The Hill (+0.10).
  • Leans right: The Wall Street Journal (+0.63).
  • Right: Washington Examiner (+1.34).

Each dot is an outlet that covered it, placed by its audience-lean score (Eady et al. 2025), which measures who shares its links, not how accurate it is. The ticks under the line are all 113 rated outlets Tare reads.

Detailed briefing

A longer write-up made from the full articles: what happened, the background, how coverage differs and what's still unclear, with every paragraph sourced.

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Sources

Left

  1. 1 MS NOW · Leans left · Oct 27, 7:22 a.m. ETTroy Jackson makes final pitch to Maine voters in seven-figure ad blitz
  2. 2 PoliticusUSA · Leans left · Oct 26, 6:38 p.m. ETTroy Jackson May Have Ended Susan Collins’ Career In Less Than A Minute
  3. 3 Raw Story · Leans left · Oct 27, 6:06 p.m. ET'Out of touch': Susan Collins under fire for ad disparaging her rival's profession
  4. 4 The Daily Beast · Leans left · Oct 27, 11:34 a.m. ETNate Silver Calls BS on Eye-Popping Poll in Key Senate Race

Right

  1. 8 The Wall Street Journal · Leans right · Oct 27, 5:43 p.m. ETOpinion | Why Maine Is a 2026 Senate Bellwether
  2. 9 Washington Examiner · Right · Oct 27, 6:00 a.m. ETPaul LePage polarizes Maine voters with comeback bid for Jared Golden’s House seat
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